If Assad loses the Syrian civil war

This is to give an analysis of the frightening possibility of Assad losing the civil war. In this scenario, Hillary Clinton would be the reason for the overthrow of Bashar Al-Assad.


1) America would be despised by Syrian Arabs. Many Syrians see the civil war not as a war between Syrians, but a war between Syrians (on Assad's side) and the international community that wishes to destroy them. It would be mainly the Arabs - Alawite, Christian, Druze and even Sunnis - that would hate America; the Kurds would not.

This contrasts to Iraq. Shi'ite Iraqis are - quite secretly - very thankful to America for overthrowing Saddam Hussein. For Shi'ite Iraqis, they see the current situation in Iraq as preferable to the days of Saddam Hussein. Sunni Arabs, by contrast, pay lip service to yet hate America very much. Iraqi Kurds both pay lip service to and love America.


2) The Muslim Brotherhood would nominally control Syria. From the beginning, Hillary Clinton has used the Arab Spring as an attempt to bring the Muslim Brotherhood into power. It is likely this is because she has been paid substantial amounts of money by pro-Muslim Brotherhood, resource-rich country Qatar - as long as she gets her money, who cares what her decisions cause in Libya, Egypt or Syria?

This is also likely because Turkey has been the main antagonist of the Syrian civil war. Erdogan is very pro-Muslim Brotherhood, and so together with support from Qatar would very likely open the door for a Muslim Brotherhood President.

With the absence of strong man Bashar Al-Assad, the Muslim Brotherhood government that would follow would be hopeless. It would be as chronically weak as the curent Iraqi or Afghani Governments.

3) Al-Qaeda and ISIS would win another victory in the war on terror. Hillary Clinton's "war on terror" policies should be changed to "war for terror," because her greatest accomplishments as Secretary of State were the establishment of terrorist hub Libya, along with the moving of the Libyan Government's weapons from Libya to Syria to substantially - and cheaply - arm the rebels in the Syrian Civil War. She also supported the Muslim Brotherhood in Egypt, who were known for their disdain and abuse of Egyptian minorities.


Afghanistan, Iraq and Libya are three examples of America's failed foreign policy. It has failed because it rests on the assumption that the Middle-East region is ready for democracy. As I have said before, "the war for democracy must wait until the war on terror is won." America cannot fund both extremists and moderates at the same time without the extremists taking control.

For Hillary Clinton to add Syria to her list of failures would mean that both ISIS and Al-Qaeda would control substantial chunks of Syria, with the chronically weak Muslim Brotherhood Government not strong enough nor united enough to wrest control of them back. It would make trade with Iraq and Turkey very difficult - ISIS would be engrained in the Bedouin tribes of Syria, west of Iraq; Al-Qaeda would rest up around Idlib and Aleppo provinces, south of Turkey - which would only add to Syria's problems.

4) Hezbollah would grow in Syria. One of the better side-effects of the Syrian civil war would be the weakening of anti-Israeli pro-Iranian Hezbollah - which is, of course, the main reason why the war is being supported by America: to destroy Hezbollah.

Lebanon's stability rests on the stability of Syria. If Bashar Al-Assad is overthrown, Hezbollah's main ally would be gone and Hezbollah would be vulnerable, so vulnerable they may try and take control of Lebanon to ensure they remain in the region.

If something like this happened, Sunnis, Christians and other groups would likely rally behind the Lebanese government in a show of strength to stop Hezbollah from taking control of their country. (This would likely be encouraged by the same countries which funded the overthrow of Bashar Al-Assad.)

Though it is possible that Hezbollah would be severely weakened in Lebanon, there is every chance that main Hezbollah headquarters would be relocated to the Syrian Alawite region. Many Syrian minority groups would take refuge there if unable to leave, and there many minorities would join forces, under Hezbollah, to fight tooth and nail any radical Sunni group that dares approach them.

This would mean that not only would there be radical Sunni terrorists in Syria in the forms of Al-Qaeda and ISIS, but also there would be radical Shi'ite terrorists that would make the current Iraqi government blush. A radicalised Syrian Hezbollah would likely match at least Al-Qaeda in brutality; they would have to be radical, otherwise they wouldn't survive in "Free Syria."

What is surprising is that many Syrian Sunnis may join Hezbollah as well. The Syrian Civil War has often been painted as a sectarian war between Sunnis and Shi'ites, but the reality on the ground suggests an inter-Sunni civil war between Hanafis and Hanbalis, or, to put it in simple terms, between moderates and extremists. Many Syrian Sunnis are appalled with the brutality of groups like ISIS and Al-Qaeda, and those who felt strongest about Bashar Al-Assad would likely join with his closest ally in his memory: they would fight for Hezbollah.

So in fact, as ISIS threatened the Iraqi Government in 2014, in the future we may see a large Hezbollah force threatening the Syrian Muslim Brotherhood Government with more support and strength than either Al-Qaeda or ISIS. Sure, Hezbollah would no longer threaten Israel, but it could drag America back into the region to prop up its government in Syria.

5) Anti-Israeli groups would be largely Sunni. If Hezbollah was no longer able to fight Israel, radical Sunni groups like Al-Qaeda in Syria (Jabhat Al-Nusra, Jabhat Fateh Al-Sham - whatever you want to call it) would make the quiet Syrian border with Israel no longer quiet. Such Sunni extremism against Israel would have support from the new Syrian Government, and likely also have support from the wider Sunni Arab world.

The danger perhaps unbenownst to Israel is that in destroying Shi'ite enemies and creating Sunni ones, it stands against a far larger and more deadly enemy. Sunni Muslims make up a larger portion of the Middle-East (and the world) than Shi'ite Muslims - if the Sunnis destroy the Shi'ite powers and then turn their attention to Israel, it will be larger armies and bigger forces heading for Israel than what is currently being seen.

Israel should indeed think hard about whether the destruction of Hezbollah is worth the revival of what has been - since the days of Saddam Hussein - a sleeping giant.

6) Palestinians may become even more radicalised. With Syrians embracing Al-Qaeda and fighting Israel, Palestinians, kin in the Sham region, would likely do the same. Then Israel would have more support in forcing Palestinians out from their regions from the international community than they currently do.

Such Palestinian-Israeli problems worsened would cause headaches for King Abdullah of Jordan. Though not likely at all to be kicked out of Jordan, Abdullah may face a period of instability in the readjustment of a Free Syria unleashed on the Middle-East and the resulting consequences thrown at Palestine as a result.

7) Many massacres would take place. This is one of the saddest results of the overthrow of Bashar Al-Assad: Alawites, Druze and Christians would immediately experience genocide as retaliation from extremists in Syria.

Hezbollah may protect these minorities in Syria, especially around the Latakia/Tartus regions, but this would strain their resources and cause problems for them in their base in Lebanon.

8) America would go bankrupt. In the corporate neo-con greed of current America not knowing when to stop, they would likely be faced with war with Putin for overthrowing Bashar Al-Assad - in all likelihood this may happen earlier, as soon as Hillary Clinton installs a "no-fly-zone" in Syria.

Such a war would probably bankrupt America. Already 20 trillion - yes, trillion - dollars in debt, it is unlikely America would have the financial strength to fight such a war to completion.

So terrorist groups, like Al-Qaeda and ISIS, who have spent all their time trying to destroy America and everything they stand for, would have got their wish: America would be the great power that was, over the mid-20th century to early 21st century, destroyed because they tried to fight the war on terror on two fronts: by both creating it and destroying it.


There is much more to say - how such a defeat would destabilize Turkey and the Gulf - but for the sake of your time, I will leave it here. God protect us all from what could be the worst decision ever made by America...